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Results: Global Economy

Cavoodle dog looking out the window of a truck
26 June 2025

Mortgage rates trucking along as is for now

It's all looking pretty quiet on the interest rates front at the moment. While shorter-term rates are expected to fall a little fu...

Close-up shot of a checkmate move in chess, knocking the king down.
12 June 2025

Competition keeping mortgage rates in check, despite rise in wholesale rates

Wholesale rates have gone up slightly in the wake of our latest 0.25% OCR cut, raising concerns that mortgage rates may follow sui...

Parachuter coming in to land at sunset
29 May 2025

Another OCR cut in the bag—and we're almost at the bottom of the rate cycle

The Reserve Bank dropped the OCR by a further 0.25% this week, down to 3.25%—meaning we're now within reaching distance of the bot...

01 May 2024

Jobs growth in New Zealand has hit a roadblock

Wholesale interest rates in NZ have increased in recent months, and there has essentially been no jobs growth in New Zealand since the middle of last year. So will this weakening in the labour market continue?

07 February 2024

Reserve Bank still strongly opposed to big reductions in interest rates

The Reserve Bank still appears to remain staunchly opposed to any sizable reductions in mortgage interest rates. That said, it is still highly likely that the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates this year rather than the middle of 2025 as indicated..

12 December 2023

Borrowers should concentrate on managing risk — not rate chasing

Chances are good that the official cash rate will be cut before the end of 2024 and even by the middle of next year. But should borrowers be focusing on trying to predict the ups and downs of the rates cycle?

Dog excitedly chasing tennis ball
29 November 2023

Lower mortgage rates, or higher bank margins?

Declines in fixed interest rates in the US have fed through to some reductions in NZ’s bank wholesale borrowing costs. Will this mean lower mortgage rates for Kiwi, or will this end up as extra margin for the banks?

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