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Results: Global Economy

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21 August 2025

RBNZ drops OCR to 3.00%—and it's not done yet

And just like that, we're back at 3.00%—but in a somewhat unexpected twist, the RBNZ has signaled significant OCR cuts still to co...

Small dog digging a hole
14 August 2025

Banks preemptively cut one- and two-year rates ahead of OCR verdict

We're a week out from our next OCR announcement, but the banks are already making moves—with all major lenders having dropped thei...

Hand doing crossed fingers signal against an orange background.
07 August 2025

Another 0.25% cut expected—but will the RBNZ signal more in the pipeline?

Wholesale interest rates have fallen over the last few days in response to market expectations of a 0.25% cut on 20 August—but mor...

17 December 2024

Predictions for NZ interest rates and the OCR in 2025

After a tough few years, we're on the slow road to recovery—and things should continue to look up in 2025. Here are our predictions on interest rates, the OCR, economy and housing market for next year.

Hand holding the numbers 2025
01 May 2024

Jobs growth in New Zealand has hit a roadblock

Wholesale interest rates in NZ have increased in recent months, and there has essentially been no jobs growth in New Zealand since the middle of last year. So will this weakening in the labour market continue?

07 February 2024

Reserve Bank still strongly opposed to big reductions in interest rates

The Reserve Bank still appears to remain staunchly opposed to any sizable reductions in mortgage interest rates. That said, it is still highly likely that the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates this year rather than the middle of 2025 as indicated..

12 December 2023

Borrowers should concentrate on managing risk — not rate chasing

Chances are good that the official cash rate will be cut before the end of 2024 and even by the middle of next year. But should borrowers be focusing on trying to predict the ups and downs of the rates cycle?

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