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Results: New Zealand Economy

Giraffe looming over a hole in the roof of a structure
30 October 2025

The bottom of the interest rate cycle looms closer

With the best one year rate at 4.39% and longer terms below 5.00%, we're getting very close to the bottom of the interest rate cyc...

Man trimming a hedge with garden shears
23 October 2025

Another OCR cut expected—could it see the one-year rate dip below 4%?

The market is expecting another OCR cut in November—from 2.50% to 2.25%—and with that, there's now a distinct possibility that we ...

Man silhoutted against a sunset over the ocean
16 October 2025

Rates nearing the bottom—is now the time to think about fixing longer-term?

We're either at—or very near—the bottom of the interest rate cycle. And now that we're starting to longer-term rates out there bel...

21 August 2025

RBNZ drops OCR to 3.00%—and it's not done yet

And just like that, we're back at 3.00%—but in a somewhat unexpected twist, the RBNZ has signaled significant OCR cuts still to come, getting us down to 2.50% either later in 2025 or early 2026.

Young kid standing against a blue background giving double thumbs up
17 July 2025

Opposing forces leave OCR outlook uncertain

On the one hand, the NZ economy still isn't in great shape. On the other, offshore uncertainty is causing concern around the future of inflation. So, what does that mean for the OCR in the coming months?

Man dressed in white and woman dressed in black standing facing each other on a giant chess board
10 July 2025

Reserve Bank hits the pause button, holding the OCR at 3.25%

The RBNZ hit pause on rate cuts on 9 July—holding the OCR steady at 3.25%—citing signs of life in the economy, and overseas factors causing concern.

Person pushing a crosswalk button, with the "WAIT" sign lit up
26 June 2025

Mortgage rates trucking along as is for now

It's all looking pretty quiet on the interest rates front at the moment. While shorter-term rates are expected to fall a little further, longer-term rates are a different story.

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